GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS FEATURE inside the behtway continued
Once the decision was made to remove the Manchin permitting provisions, lawmak- ers broadly supported taking up the legislation and passed the measure with biparti- san support. It was clear that Congress, just a few weeks shy of the election, had no appetite for a politically charged government shutdown.
What was Excluded?
In addition to dropping the Manchin provision, lawmakers did not include the $22.4 billion Biden requested for COVID resources, or the $4.5 billion to respond to monkeypox cases. Previous negotiations over a COVID bill faltered after Republicans said the Biden administration didn’t provide enough information on previously ap- propriated funds.
What Is Included in the Continuing Resolution
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Mid-term Election Watch With the final Congressional primaries official behind us, the potential outcomes
of the mid-term elections have become slightly clearer. In the United States Senate, there are currently Democrats control 48 Democratically controlled seats, while the GOP controls 50 seats. There are 2 Independent seats, and none are up for election. These seats caucus with Democrats.
Of those seats, 14 Democrat-controlled seats and 21 Republican-controlled seats are up for election. Polling indicates that while not impossible, there may be a slim chance that the GOP could re-take the majority in the U.S. Senate, but it would be very close if the election were being held today. Of course, the GOP would have to retain all the Republican seats up for re-election and win one open seat for that to happen. Regardless of whichever party controls the U.S. Senate over the next two years, there will continue to be a very slim majority thus large legislative items will not be likely be realistic.
24 OABA ShowTime Magazine | NOVEMBER 2022
Specific Senate races this November that that will determine control of the majority include: 1. AZ (Kelly) 2. GA (Warnock) 3. NV (Cortez Masto) 4. OH (OPEN) 5. PA (OPEN) 6. WI (Johnson)
Wild card Senate races that could break between now and November include: 1. FL (Rubio) 2. NH (Hassan) 3. WA (Murray)
(red denotes Republican held senate
seats & blue denotes Democratic held Senate seats)
On the House side, there is a stronger consensus that Republicans will regain control of the House of Representatives, however the wave will not be as big as it was projected several months ago. If polling holds through to election day, and if the GOP actu- ally resumes the Majority, it will be a significant change and cause a divided Congress after the past two years with all three branches under the control of the Democratic Party.
It appears that the conservative Freedom Caucus, and to a lesser extend the Republican Study Committee (RSC), will have an oversized influence on this incoming freshman class as well as con- trol over which pieces and how specific legislation gets passed in the 118th Congress. We have and will continue to be proactive in building relationships with these candidates in advance of the Election Day in November and in advance of them being sworn in as Members of Congress in January 2023.
John Ariale is a Principal and the Director of the Federal Appropriations Practice at Husch Blackwell Strategies where he works with Gregg Hartley, William Fox, and Russ Orban as part of OABA’s Government Relations Team in Washington, DC. Husch Blackwell Strategies represents OABA before Congress and the Administration.
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