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Additional Reading
Bunker, Bruce C., 2018, The Mythology of Global Warming, Moonshine Cove Publishing, LLC, Abbeville, South Carolina, 259 p.
Marohasy, Jennifer, ed., 2017, Climate Change: The Facts 2017, Institute of Public Affairs, Connor Court Publishing Pty Ltd., Redland Bay, QLD, 380 pp.
Robinson, G.D. and Robinson III, G.D., 2012, Global warming – alarmists, skeptics and deniers, Moonshine Cove Publishing LLC, Abbeville, South Carolina, 208pp.
www.aipg.org
Steele, Jim, 2013, Landscapes and Cycles, An Environmentalist’s Journey to Climate Skepticism, On-Demand Publishing (dba CreateSpace), Scotts Valley, California , 331 pp.
Wrightstone, Gregory, 2017, Inconvenient Facts, 2nd ed., Silver Crown Productions, LLC, Allison Park, Pennsylvania, 143p.
REPLY,
by Thomas S. Spalding, CPG-9973:
On sea level rise relative to the Navy Base at Norfolk. As I look at it, Raphael Ketani and I are near agreeing that sea level is going up with temperature. In a 2006 paper, Jevrejeva et al. (Fig. 1) show that a 60-year cycle is discernible in both air temperature series and in mean global sea- level records of the last 200 years. This cycle caused a slowing down of the global rate of sea level rise
from about 2.4 mm/yr-1 to 1.5 mm/yr-1 from about 1950-1980, and a recovery and increase after that. If this cycle still operates, 2010 to 2040 might be expected to show a similar cyclical slowing in the rate of rise. At the mouth of Chesapeake Bay, the effect of movements of the land must be added to the effect of global sea level rise when considering flood defens- es. In their text Jevrejeva, et al (2008) specifically cites atmospheric warning as the cause of sea-level rise. Unlike the Jevrejeva et al. paper of 2006 cited by Ketani, which shows data back to 1700 AD, the 2008 paper does not address the question of the Little Ice Age: she consid- ers only the time period since 1850 AD, the approximate year in which it ended.
Ed Berry’s (2019) model of the carbon cycle as a bucket with a hole in it was highly oversimplified. Berry minimizes the effect on the equilibrium water level of a slight increase in the supply of water to the bucket, because of the large inputs and outputs involved in the “Fast Carbon Cycle”. A more realistic
Fig. 1 - (top) Nonlinear trend (thick black line) in global sea level using an SSA embedding dimension equivalent to 30 years. Paralleling the trend is the 95% confidence interval in the trend found by considering the mismatch between the regional sea level curves; thin curve is the yearly global sea level. (bottom) Rate of the global sea level trend, and its standard error from equation (4). Source: JGR: Oceans, Volume: 111, Issue: C9, First published: 12 September 2006, DOI: (10.1029/2005JC003229)
Jul.Aug.Sep 2020 • TPG 7
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