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Weather outlook Winter 2017 – 2018


Following two extremely warm winters, a notably colder weather pattern is in store for the central and eastern United States this winter, with below normal temperatures favored across the northern Plains and the Midwest. A much warmer winter than last year is expected in the Pacific Northwest, with seasonal temperatures forecasted. Above normal temperatures this winter should be mostly limited to California. February is expected to be the coldest month relative to normal nationally, particularly in the Midwest.


The West Coast is not expected to see a repeat of last winter’s deluge, with slightly below normal rainfall expected, although a wet start to the winter is possible in California before drier weather returns in January and February. Above normal precipitation is expected across the western Plains and portions of the northwestern Midwest this winter, while below normal precipitation is expected across the southwestern Midwest, southeastern Plains and the northern Delta. Near normal precipitation is expected across most of the eastern third of the country. December and February should be the wettest months


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in the west central Plains, while January may be the wettest month in Texas. No significant El Niño or La Niña event is likely this winter, which leads to a lower confidence forecast.


MDA Weather forecast precipitation percentage of normal for December 2017 – February 2018 (A = above normal, B = below normal, N = normal)


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