U.S. seasonal drought outlook Drought tendency June 17-Sept. 30


Drought persists Drought persists


Drought remains but improves Drought removal likely


Author Adam Allgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Climate Prediction Center


Source: U.S. Drought Monitor


Depicts large-scale trends based on subjectively derived probabilities guided by short- and long-range statistical and dynamical forecasts. Use caution for applications that can be affected by short lived events. “Ongoing” drought areas are based on the U.S. Drought Monitor areas (intensities of D1 to D4).


Drought development likely


NOTE: The tan areas imply at least a 1-category improvement in the Drought Monitor intensity levels by the end of the period, although drought will remain. The green areas imply drought removal by the end of the period (D0 or none).


Drought remains but improves Drought removal likely


Drought development likely


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